The gages upstream of Hempstead have either crested and are starting to recede or are currently cresting. Based on those conditions we have seen minimal changes to the Hempstead, San Felipe, and Richmond Gages. As of 8:20 this morning, Hempstead is forecasted to crest around Gage Elevation 51.5 on Monday with San Felipe cresting around Gage Elevation 121.6 on Tuesday.
Over the past 24 hours, the WGRFC has forecasted the Brazos River in Richmond to reach Minor Flood Stage, cresting around Gage Elevation 45.1 on Wednesday.
Based on the forecasts, the Brazos River through Fort Bend County will remain elevated for the next 7 to 14 days. Major flooding is not anticipated; however, we could see inundation of some of our low lying areas as well as rises within the tributaries of the Brazos.
While it is elevated, we encourage everyone to continue to monitor for potential changes in the forecast and any changes in our rain chances. This morning’s precipitation forecast shows less than 20% chance for rain through most of the week with the highest probability for rain closer to the weekend. The current estimated rainfall totals over the next 7 days is around 1 inch for most of the Brazos River Watershed, downstream of Hempstead.
Please continue to follow the official forecasts by the West Gulf River Forecast Center (WGRFC), the NWS Houston-Galveston Office, and notices from the Fort Bend County Office of Emergency Management for more information as things develop.
Although major flooding from the Brazos River is not anticipated through Fort Bend County, remember to visit TexasFlood.Org to learn more about how to prepare for flooding or view the various stream and reservoir gages across Texas.