The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 9.27. Due to rainfall that occurred in the upper portions of the watershed, we are seeing slight rises within the Brazos. Through Fort Bend County, we should remain below Richmond Gage 10. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.
Based on the forecasts, we will start the week warming back up in to the mid to high 80s and possibly into the low 90s before another cold pushes through our region on Wednesday. We have increased chances for rain over the next 3 days with our highest chance for rain occurring late Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning. Throughout Wednesday our rain chances decrease with a sunny to partly cloudy conditions Thursday through Saturday.
Overall, the 7-day precipitation forecast is showing the upper portions of the Brazos River watershed (Bryan/College Station/Brenham) receiving 2 to 2.5 inches of rain with the lower portions, through Fort Bend County, receiving around 1.5 inches.
This rain will bring some much needed relief to areas within the upper portions of the watershed where drought conditions have either remained unchanged or worsen over the past 2 to 3 weeks.
The National Hurricane Center is watching 2 disturbances located in the Atlantic. A third disturbance is located near the west coast of Central America. It is anticipated to move in a west to northwesterly direction across Honduras, Southern Belize and Northern Guatemala.
Based on the forecasts, we do have the potential for increased tropical moisture due to this disturbance over the weekend, possible Sunday, and into early next week. It is too early to tell exactly how and if this disturbance will move through the western portion of the Gulf of Mexico, but the current forecasts are showing this system being potentially being pushed east of our region moving toward the Louisiana coast. This would keep much of the heavy rainfall east of Fort Bend County and the lower Brazos River watershed.
We are watching this disturbances for any changes in its path.