Various Atlantic Activity, but Most of Texas to Remain Hot and Dry

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 11.81. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

WGRFC Brazos River at Richmond (09/03/2019 8:07 AM Forecast

This Week

Even with all the current Tropical Cyclone activity, the majority of the State of Texas remains dry with over 70% of the State in various stages of drought.

Texas Drought Monitor (08/27/2019 – Released 08/29/2019)

Due to an area of high pressure settling over Texas, the next several days will consist of temperatures in the upper 90s with the potential for more 100° days. This dry weather will worsen the drought conditions as rainfall amounts across the region as well as the majority of the State remain low with limited to no rainfall in the forecast through the weekend.

NWS Houston/Galveston 7 Day Forecast (09/02/2019)
PivotalWeather.com 7 Day Precipitation Forecast (09/03/2019)

The Tropics

Hurricane Dorian continues to pose a significant threat to Florida and the southeastern coasts of the United States. Over the weekend, we saw the path of Hurricane Dorian shift away from a direct hit to Florida; however, storm surge and flash flooding along the coast is still possible as this system moves north along the east coast.

National Hurricane Center (NHC) Key Messages on Hurricane Dorian (09/03/2019)

In additional to Hurricane Dorian, the NHC is watching 4 separate areas. 3 of these areas lay in the Atlantic and do not currently pose a threat to the western Gulf of Mexico.

The 4th, Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven, is developing in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and could become Tropical Depression or Storm (Fernand) within the next 12 hours. Due to our ridge of high pressure, this system is anticipated to remain to our south making landfall along the Mexican Coast. Depending on the final development and path, this system could bring some much needed rain to south Texas; however, it should not impact our region and the upper portions of the Texas coast.

NWS Houston/Galveston Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven (09/03/2019)


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