April 15 Weekly Flood Risk… The severe weather continues.

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 21.82  feet (Action Stage). Based on the rainfall received, the WGRFC forecast has the Brazos River in Richmond rising to Gage Elevation 25.1 feet on Thursday morning.

WGRFC 1:32 PM Brazos River at Richmond (04/15/19)

Weekend Recap

In portions of East Texas, this weekend’s storm was more severe than the one we experienced the previous weekend, including reports of strong winds and hail in some parts of Fort Bend County. The most severe weather fell on Saturday but remained to our north with confirmed tornadoes hitting Alto and Franklin, Texas. Although severe for some, the majority of the Lower Brazos River watershed received less rainfall than anticipated with less than 0.5 inches falling over the majority of watershed downstream of Waco.

NWS April 13, 2019 Preliminary Storm Survey Paths
WGRFC April 13, 2019 Summary (04/14/2019)

This Week

Our sunny and stormy Spring weather continues this week as we start the week with sunny to partly cloudy skies with another storm system making its way through the region Wednesday/Thursday. Similar to the past two weekends, we cannot rule out the possibility of strong and/or severe storms. As of this morning, the NWS is showing the most severe weather remaining to our north, but we will continue to watch as the system approaches.

NWS Houston/Galveston 7 Day Outlook (04/15/201)
NWS Severe Weather Outlook for Wednesday, April 17, 2019

In the process of writing this post, we have already seen shifts in our rain forecasts over the next 7 days. This morning the forecasts were showing 0.5 to 1.5 inches of rainfall over the majority of the Brazos River watershed downstream of Waco. However, as of this afternoon, our 7 day anticipated rainfall has increased to 0.5 to 2.5 inches over the next 7 days.

PivotalWeather.com Rainfall 72-Hour Precipitation Forecast (04/18/2019 7:00 AM) 
PivotalWeather.com Rainfall 7-Day Precipitation Forecast (04/22/2019 7:00 PM) 

Based on the current forecast, we could see the Brazos River remain in Action Stage for an extended period of time; however, at this moment we do not anticipate flooding along the River.

WGRFC Midweek Flood Summary (04/15/2019)

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