The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 27.33 feet (Action Stage and falling).
As many have noticed, we continued to see the Forecast drop as the Brazos River peaked at Gage Elevation 29.91 on Thursday afternoon. We continue to fall; however, depending on the rainfall received on Saturday, we could see the Brazos River remain in Action Stage with another slight rise the end of the weekend into the first half of next week. Depending on the final timing and actual rainfall, we could even see the River dip below Action Stage over the weekend.
We continue to watch the various forecasts on what our weekend holds. Some of the region received a few drops earlier today, but overall most have stayed dry. Tomorrow is another story, maybe…
The NWS is still showing most of southeast Texas with at least a marginal risk of severe storms with much of the east side of the Brazos River Watershed in slight risk.
Based on this morning’s forecasts, our biggest threat of severe weather starts tomorrow morning (7 AM to our northwest) through late afternoon (4 PM through Fort Bend County). Overall the upper portions of the Brazos River Watershed could see 1.0 to 1.5 inches while Fort Bend County could see less than a inch, maybe even less than 1/2 inch on Saturday.
The short summary of the weekend is that we could see some strong storms, but at the moment we have smaller rain amounts in the forecast. This should hopefully keep the river out of Flood Stage but remain in Action Stage. Saturday might be a messy day for some, but Sunday should be a pleasant day to get outside.
7 Day Outlook
After Saturday, Sunday and Monday look pretty clear with chances for sunshine. This could be short lived has more rain is in the forecast through the end of the week as another cold front potentially works through the region. Currently, the forecast is only showing a total of 1/2 inch or so Tuesday through Thursday.