The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 13.27 feet (Below Action Stage). Based on the rainfall received upstream of Richmond, the WGRFC has issued forecasts for the Brazos River.
As of 2:36 PM, the WGRFC is forecasting the River to enter Action Stage (Gage Elevation 20) on Wednesday and reach Gage Elevation 38.8 feet on Friday night into Saturday morning. This is approximately 3.5 feet lower than the forecast published on Monday morning.
Overall the lower portions of the watershed received slightly less rain than anticipated being on the lower side of the initial 1 to 3 inches of predicted rainfall. In Fort Bend County, we saw a few gages topping off at around 1.5 inches, but the majority of the County saw around or less than 1 inch. Upstream of Hempstead, the watershed received between 1.5 to 3 inches over the weekend with a peak rainfall exceeding 5 inches to 6 inches in isolated areas upstream of Bryan/College Station.
This rainfall has and will cause moderate flooding along the Navasota River upstream of the confluence with the Brazos but the Brazos River downstream of the confluence should remain in Action Stage.
After the weekend rain, this week includes sunny to mostly sunny skies with rain chances less than 20% through Friday. The sunny conditions appear to be short lived has we have the potential for another round of storms working through southeast Texas over the weekend. There is currently low confidence in the severity of the storms, but overall the forecasts are showing between less than 2 inches through Monday morning.
As of this afternoon it appears that we should stay in Action Stage as we approach and move through the weekend, but stay tuned to your favorite local weather source for updates on the river forecasts as well as any changes in the forecasts as we approach the weekend.