March 11 Weekly Flood Risk

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 14.68 feet (Below Action Stage). There are no active forecasts issued for the lower Brazos River Watershed (downstream of Waco).

WGRFC 8:05 AM Brazos River at Richmond (03/11/19)

The current forecast shows mainly cloudy skies with the best chance for sun toward the end of the week.

NWS 5 Day Forecasts Image (03/11/29 @ 1:32 AM)

We could see some rainfall today, but our highest chance for rain runs late Tuesday through Wednesday as another cold front moves through the area. This system could bring a round of strong to severe thunderstorms across Texas. The most severe storms are currently forecasted to remain to our north/northwest, but we will continue to watch the conditions as this system moves through the region.

NWS WGRFC Storm Forecast Summary (03/10/19 @ 7:49 AM)

Based on the current forecast, over the next 7 days we could see less than a 0.5 inch in Fort Bend County with the watershed upstream of Bryan/College Station seeing between 1.5 to 2.25 inches.

PivotalWeather.com Rainfall 7-Day Precipitation Forecast (03/11/19 7:00 AM)

Current Reservoir Status

The current storms in the forecast appear to remain in North Texas which could impact the upper portions of the Brazos River Watershed. I do not believe this system will cause flooding in Fort Bend County, but we will watch how this system ultimately develops and what impacts it has on the reservoir system.

Brazos River Authority Drought Monitor and Reservoir Capacity Indicator (03/07/19)
USACE Brazos River Basin Reservoir Status (03/11/19 @ 0756 CST)

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